Sayed was rated a $1.55 favourite for the Wyong Gold Cup on Thursday despite being beaten by Auvray last time out at Randwick. He did carry 61kg that day and drops to 54kg here, and Waller doesn’t believe the drop back from 2400m to 2100m will stop him.
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“It’s a good race for him and I think he has been overdoing it in his last couple (of starts),” Waller said in his weekly preview video. “More so the last race and he got beaten with the big weight of 61kg. I think back to 2100m (Kerrin McEvoy) will be able to get him to switch off and settle better and it looks a really nice race for him. He looks really hard to beat.”
BRAD DAVIDSON’S BEST BETS
BEST BET: SCHUBERT (Race 3, No. 4)
Gets the blinkers on and if he drew a gate last start he is in the finish for mine. Should lead and prove hard to beat here. Princess Posh looks the only real danger.
BEST VALUE: DESTINY’S KISS (Race 7, No. 1)
I know Sayed is going to be hard to beat but I’m prepared to be with Destiny’s Kiss just at the odds. He was a run short last weekend, Hugh Bowman sticks and this looks a target race.
QUADDIE: 1st leg: 1, 3, 4, 6, 8, 11. 2nd leg: 1, 2, 8. 3rd leg: 1, 3, 6. 4th leg: 3, 7.
TRAINER TO WATCH
JAMES CUMMINGS (Godolphin) only has three runners — Sisken, Piracy and Schubert but all three should go close.
BEST BET: DON’T GIVE A DAMN (Race 7, No. 4)
He has only had the one 800m trial which is a concern when he is debuting over 1300m but it was a super trial to say the least. He was clearly going better than Anna’s Joy in the trial and she come out and won at Kembla Grange on debut.
NEXT BEST: SHADOW FLIGHT (Race 4, No. 6)
Was far from disgraced at the provincials and then he probably wins from a better draw at Bathurst last start. The big straight should suit him.
JOCKEY TO WATCH
KATHY O’HARA has a nice book of five rides.
SCROLL DOWN FOR SHAYNE O’CASS’S PREVIEW OF THE QUADDIE LEGS AT WYONG & GOULBURN
MATT STEWART, DANNY RUSSELL & GILBERT GARDINER TALK WINNERS
Sayed will face some opposition from Destiny’s Kiss, who should have finished closer than fourth in the Premier’s Cup at Rosehill last weekend. He was held up for most of the straight and was coming into the race without a run for eight weeks.
Meanwhile, co-trainers Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott will back-up Premier’s Cup winner Dee I Cee in the Wyong Gold Cup.
“There’s no reason why Dee I Cee can’t win again,” Bott said. “He won really well the other day and I know the price suggested it was a surprise win but you dig a little deeper into his form and go back to not even 12 months ago and he was performing well.
“He did plenty of work going into the Premier’s Cup and he came out of that in good order, so it was an easy decision for us to back up.”
The stable will also be represented by Sweet Redemption, Sort After and Slumber Party in the Listed Mona Lisa Stakes (1350m).
“Sweet Redemption has proven she is the class mare of the trio,” Bott said. “I loved her first-up win and that was probably the most forward she has been in any campaign to date.
“Hopefully that’s a sign of how well she has come back this campaign. She has come out of that run in really good order and there is still improvement there and she looks to have shown that during the week.
“Slumber Party has definitely shown she is stakes quality throughout her career and she is just yet to land a big race yet. From a ratings perspective, she is thrown in the deep end a bit here but it’s a point in her career where she is very fit and very well and she will have every opportunity to pick up a stakes race.
“I would be very forgiving of her last start disappointment and I think she can bounce back.”
Bott said the resuming Sort After should improve with racing.
“She is well performed and she is a quality mare going forward,” he said. “I guess from her previous form we’ve seen her best runs come deeper into her preparation particularly when she gets over ground and she is not as forward as the other two.”
INSIDE MAIL with SHAYNE O’CASS
R5 (3.20pm): BENCHMARK 75 HCP (1100m)
11. Sisken has a grand record of eight starts for three wins, two seconds and two thirds. She raced through the grades last campaign — granted in easier races but they were deep races by the same token. She has trialled nicely for this but you wouldn’t see a better Benchmark 75 at the provincials. 6. Rosa Carolina worked through the grades last time in work, culminating with a nose second in the Listed South Pacific at The Championships. Trialling well and has a brilliant fresh record. 12. Alaskan Wolf could be worth a place bet.
BETTING STRATEGY: SISKEN to win. Quinella 6, 11.
R6 (3.55pm): MONA LISA STAKES (1350m)
4. Shazee Lee did herself no favours by over-racing first-up in the Toy Show. She won the Hawkesbury Guineas at her previous run and did trial exceedingly well before her first-up run. 10. Faith’s Encore has missed the start a few times this preparation and flown home late. Raced handier last time and just went under. Suspect she tracks close from the rails here. 9. Suspenders is big odds.
BETTING STRATEGY: SHAZEE LEE each-way. Box trifecta 2, 4, 9, 10.
R7 (4.35pm): WYONG GOLD CUP (2100m)
Chris Waller has won five of the past seven Wyong Cups and is short odds to make it six from eight with 6. Sayed. The big weight told on him at Randwick last start, he drops from 61kg to 54kg here and even though it’s a better class of stayer, he is still very much a Metrop contender. Not many can win at $1.55 so maybe the bet is the exacta — Sayed to beat cups king 1. Destiny’s Kiss. How many horses win 15 races? 3. Singing is an interesting runner first-up.
BETTING STRATEGY: SAYED to win.
R8 (5.10pm): CLASS 2 HCP (1200m)
An unusually strong provincial Class 2. 7. Piracy and 3. Raiden look like they will battle it out for favouritism. Piracy beat a handy midweek field at his last start and, while Raiden only won at Gosford, he looked like a man up against boys. At the end of the day, it comes down to the depth of the Piracy form trumps the manner of the Raiden win. Two-horse race on paper.
BETTING STRATEGY: Quinella 3, 7.
R5 (2.25pm): CLASS 3 HCP (1600m)
3. Force Of Magic ran two creditable races in TAB Highways either side of his second placing at Canberra. Two of is three career wins are at this trip and he has placed twice in two visits to Goulburn. Honest and capable type. 7. Backless is a lightly-raced mare from the powerful Matthew Dale camp that has barely put a hoof out of place in her four starts. Skips a class (Class 1 to Class 3) but she’s up to the challenge. 9. Millijule is the value runner; good numbers at the track and distance.
BETTING STRATEGY: FORCE OF MAGIC to win. MILLIJULE each-way.
R6 (3.05pm): CLASS 2 HCP (1200m)
Jeff Penza’s many fans can cash in here at good odds. Penza teams up with John Thompson to steer 3. Daytime Dancer who actually ran a little better than it looks when down the order in town. He had trialled well before that and he’ll find this race a fair bit easier. 4. Manhattan Chic looked her old barnstorming self when seventh but only 0.9 lengths from the winner in a Class 2/1200m (same as here) at her last outing. Going well again. 6. Arrondissement has claims.
BETTING STRATEGY: DAYTIME DANCER each-way. Quinella 3, 4.
R7 (3.40pm): MAIDEN HCP (1300m)
Trial watchers are all over 4. Don’t Give A Damn. The Danny Williams-trained debutant went over the line in his heat in unison with Anna’s Joy who has since proven herself to be a handy type. Sent out all the right signals in his trial, let’s hope he can reproduce it where it counts; he should and probably will. 1. Fabricator was doing his best work first-up at Kembla. He had trialled well before that so we know he’s in great nick. Great quinella option for exotic punters.
BETTING STRATEGY: DON’T GIVE A DAMN to win. Exacta 4 to beat 1. Quinella 1, 4.
R8 (4.20pm): CLASS 1 HCP (1400m)
Hopefully the wide barrier leads to better odds here with another of the Danny Williams horses in 7. Cartel who won well before going to Sydney for a Highway race. He raced like a horse that was disinterested. Plenty of horses in history have failed at their second starts and bounced back quickly. He might be another. 4. Media Vita has drawn barrier one and has Jeff Penza up which means he gets the favours, where Cartel may not. 5. Penultimate Star should place, his numbers assure him of that.
BETTING STRATEGY: CARTEL to win. Box trifecta 2, 4, 5, 7, 11.
Originally published as Best bets for Wyong and Goulburn...Read more