Could the EU collapse by 2040? Germany thinks it's a possibility

Tuesday, 07 November 2017, 05:57:22 PM. The bloc is experiencing immediate-term stability, but there are plenty of underlying risks.
Share World European Union A collapse of the European Union (EU) by 2040 and the movement of some European states outside the bloc’s sphere of influence are among scenarios the German defense ministry is considering in its long-term planning, according to a report. A confidential document leaked to Der Spiegel news magazine shows six scenarios that strategists working for the German government consider plausible in the coming decades. One of them, titled "The EU in Disintegration and Germany in Reactive Mode," predicts “decades of instability.” It envisages the departure of other states from the EU as well as Britain, an end to the bloc’s expansion, and a world without the current Western international order that looks “increasingly disorderly,” “chaotic,” and “conflict-prone.” Keep up with this story and more by subscribing now A separate scenario is titled “West to the East,” in which East European EU countries—already in 2017 diverging politically from their western allies—begin to halt EU expansion, or depart the bloc altogether to join the “Eastern bloc,” interpreted to indicate Russia and its associated powers.     And yet another possible set of developments would lead to "multipolar competition," where growing extremism and growing Russian influence conspire to erode European stability. According to Reuters, a spokesman for Germany’s defense ministry said Sunday that the report’s “robust predictions” did not have probabilities connected to them, and that as yet...Read more
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